This project consist to analyse and predict the future price of the bread in France. For my prediction I use Prophet released by Facebook's Core Data Science team.
The data is from INSEE : https://www.insee.fr/fr/statistiques/serie/000442423
This firt graph show the evolution of the bread
The second graph show the actual and predicted value
The third graph show the components extract (trend)
This table shows 3 the forescast by table
| Year | Forescast | Lower forescast | Upper forescast |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-27 | 3.604286 | 3.582768 | 3.625472 |
| 2022-09-28 | 3.602145 | 3.581696 | 3.623564 |
| 2022-09-29 | 3.599355 | 3.578212 | 3.619997 |
Interpretation line 1 : On September 27, 2022 the price of bread will be 3.60 € in France